* By Moose
I agree completely with Spengler and have been saying for years that "the Orange Mistake" would gain the West nothing, while turning a valuable ally in the Long War into an implacable and tenacious enemy.
The cult of democracy, the canonisation of the corrupt "democracy movements" of Russia's neighbours, the demonisation of their opponents and the mindless encroachment on Russia's existential interests are all a disaster in the making, evidenced now with Russian support for Syria, Iran and Hezbollah.
Even as Iran presents Russia with an existential threat, it is the lesser of two evils (actually three if you count China).
Nevertheless, I am pleased to see the way things are playing out, as it is high time that Europe was taught some harsh lessons.
The West's orientation against Russia speaks volumes about its poor understanding of the threat posed by Islamism, as much as an equally poor understanding of Russia's existential priorities.
There is only one valid counterargument to Spengler's point of view. It may be said that there is method to the US's madness encirclement of Russia, Monopoly style, encroachment on its periphery and destabilisation of its heartland through NGOs and other forms of activisms. It may be said that it is no accident that Condoleeza Rice, a Russia expert is SecState, and that that last 7 years of the Long War had less to do with Islam and much more to do with Russia in terms of a coherent, strategic campaign to disable a coherent, well-defined entitiy. It may even be argued that the US has done a great job here, in terms of coalition building, deployment, diplomacy and the odd bit of warfare and civil action.
What is this argument ?
Quite simply there is only one existential threat to the US at the moment, and that threat has not changed materially from the Cold War to this day. The only thing that could literally DESTROY the United States is the Russian nuclear arsenal. When viewed in these terms it is easy to understand the US's actions during the Yeltsin years, which the Russians viewed as an attempt by the West to dismember their country. It is also easy to understand the circle of US steel formed around Russia during the early years of the "War on Terror". It is easy to understand why so much was risked diplomatically to support Russian humiliation in Georgia, Ukraine, Kosovo.
The endgame here is to reduce Russia to the point where its nuclear arsenal is nullified: either destroyed or put under US watch, as the Pakistani arsenal is reportedly handled (we can only hope).
Whether this scenario is true or not, it may also pay to consider that the world is once again closer to nuclear armageddon than it has been since 1991.